Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.179412 0.206262 0.236943 0.274851 0.320783 0.375087 0.444823
2025-05-04 0.140404 0.175469 0.220141 0.282361 0.368643 0.486991 0.666986
2025-05-11 0.117376 0.155885 0.209082 0.290414 0.416346 0.612696 0.961746
2025-05-18 0.100846 0.140260 0.198222 0.293700 0.455729 0.738218 1.318474
2025-05-25 0.088567 0.127835 0.188600 0.295142 0.490879 0.868313 1.758230
2025-06-01 0.078615 0.116968 0.178878 0.293327 0.518671 0.994711 2.275198
2025-06-08 0.070216 0.107139 0.168889 0.288331 0.538236 1.111711 2.860949
2025-06-15 0.065386 0.102384 0.166569 0.296796 0.587757 1.320149 3.911168
2025-06-22 0.059372 0.094772 0.157898 0.290729 0.603101 1.450185 4.849294
2025-06-29 0.055396 0.090209 0.154098 0.293838 0.641205 1.664865 6.429515
2025-07-06 0.051218 0.084777 0.147841 0.290305 0.661572 1.838441 8.124077
2025-07-13 0.048509 0.081735 0.145815 0.295867 0.708426 2.132506 11.153234
2025-07-20 0.046180 0.079215 0.144625 0.303552 0.765773 2.515883 16.039671
2025-07-27 0.043927 0.076609 0.142927 0.309784 0.822142 2.950164 23.343039
2025-08-03 0.042053 0.074547 0.142105 0.318151 0.889693 3.509111 35.741543
2025-08-10 0.039995 0.071897 0.139630 0.321633 0.942614 4.059837 53.512525
2025-08-17 0.038002 0.069186 0.136669 0.323190 0.989936 4.645811 80.733574
2025-08-24 0.035970 0.066201 0.132713 0.321136 1.023119 5.196607 119.529325
2025-08-31 0.033914 0.062991 0.127860 0.315529 1.040146 5.669804 171.731631
2025-09-07 0.032884 0.061894 0.127941 0.325021 1.127847 6.863220 337.998350
2025-09-14 0.031072 0.058937 0.123132 0.318215 1.138846 7.421965 516.957350
2025-09-21 0.029921 0.057351 0.121575 0.321701 1.202110 8.649779 1074.976260
2025-09-28 0.028502 0.055055 0.117974 0.317739 1.226892 9.542648 2037.443591